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Corrections

Report an error

Found something wrong? Tell us. We check every submission against our original sources and post a correction if we got it wrong.

What did you find?

A factual error, a bad source citation, or a number that looks off — we want to know. Be as specific as you can.

Not financial advice. Probable is primarily AI-drafted and human-reviewed before publishing.

← View published corrections on the scoreboard

The misses, graded

A forecast is a probability, not a promise, so some of our calls land on the wrong side of the number. Here is every public forecast where the outcome came down against us, exactly as we published it — unedited.

A probability is judged across many calls, not any single one. See the full graded record on the scoreboard.