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- Will the UK's new Russia energy sanctions announced at the G7 in June 2026 result in a measurable reduction in Russia's oil and gas export revenues by December 31, 2026?unlikely22%on ProbableJun 16, 2026Hero of the dayOpen
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- U.S.-Iran Deal Reached — But the Strait of Hormuz Backlog Is Another Problemmore unlikely than not38%on ProbableJun 15, 2026Open
- Will Mitch McConnell resign from the Senate before the end of 2026?more unlikely than not28%on ProbableJun 15, 2026Hero of the dayOpen
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- Will Trump's name stay off the Kennedy Center permanently after court-ordered removal?unlikely30%on ProbableJun 14, 2026Hero of the dayOpen
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- What does the US government's block on foreign access to Anthropic's AI mean, and will Fable 5 come back online for international users?coin flip50%on ProbableJun 14, 2026Hero of the dayOpen
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