Probable forecastRight · Outcome: yes
Elon Musk's Trillion-Dollar Milestone
Probable’s read
Low confidence. Synthesized from prediction markets, professional analysts, public opinion, and official data. How we forecast →
Where the prediction market sits
Probable cited Manifold as the primary market reference for this forecast. View the market →
The question we’re forecasting
Elon Musk's Trillion-Dollar Milestone
Resolves by June 21, 2026.
Resolution
The market resolved yes on June 12, 2026. That makes Probable’s read correct by our calibration rule (we score “right” when our probability was on the side that actually happened).
See the full track record on the scoreboard.
From the briefing
This forecast was published in Probable’s briefing on Thursday, June 11, 2026: Thursday on Probable — Inflation hits a three-year high, the Fed looks frozen, and Elon Musk is closing in on a trillion dollars.
Probable’s forecasts synthesize prediction markets, professional analysts, public opinion, and official data. Drafted with AI from cited sources. Reviewed before publishing. Not financial advice. Methodology · Spot an error?